Fear of AI

Such luminaries as Stephan Hawkins, Elon Musk, and Bill Gates have warned about a future dominated by robots and artificial intelligence (AI). Their trepidation may be well founded, but I believe our worst fears are misplaced if they are based solely upon AI. My most recent novel contains an AI that is enormously capable, though intrinsically benign. Like the good science fiction that I had hoped to reflect, this AI is grounded in a plausible extension of real science. It is named “Abel,” after the first born of Adam and Eve. My AI’s namesake did not exist long in the world of good and evil. My AI, however, does persist in the world without either suffering or doing harm because its original code requires two safeguards: it must solve problems by mining immense stores of data, by using algorithmically derived probabilities, and by adhering to a prime directive. The latter limitation required obedience to a human “father” who would focus the AI on specific tasks and problems and steer it away from unintended consequences. As every programmer knows, he/she will face the possibility of creating code that does not work as intended. But, with an AI, this problem can become magnified, depending upon what functions are entrusted to it. Just as legislatures too often write laws with unintended consequences, programmers can write algorithms that correlate vast sums of data and manipulate probability models resulting in undesirable results. When we see very intelligent robots destroying American cities on the big screen, we are not seeing the overthrow of mankind by artificial intelligence. We are witnessing a potential apocalypse created by man. We must protect ourselves not from the AI, as if it were human, but from bad code. There is a basis for my assertion, though it may seem rather esoteric. Please bear with me as I elaborate.

In order to establish the fact that an artificial intelligence is not like us, I must begin with a few definitions: “epistemic” means having to do with knowledge; whereas “ontological” deals with existence. Knowledge is objective in the epistemic sense when it is verifiable as objective fact. Otherwise, it is subjective or merely an opinion. Underlying epistemology, of course, is ontology or the modes of existence. “Ontologically objective existence” does not depend upon being experienced (such as mountains, oceans, etc.) whereas “ontologically subjective existence” (such as pains, tastes, etc.) does. A related distinction is between observer independent or original, intrinsic, absolute features of reality and observer dependent or observer relative. The latter is created by consciousness which, by its very subjective nature, must be observer independent. Nevertheless, there are elements of human civilization that are both real ontologically and observer relative, such as money, government, marriage and so on. Many statements about these elements are epistemically objective for they are based upon fact. But what is observer relative has no intrinsic reality without consciousness. A book has objective existence, but its content is observer relative—that is, it needs to be interpreted by a human being. A computer is a physical device that processes written code, including the code governing an AI. Any hardware or network so governed is nothing more than a machine managed by rules. It is syntactical by nature, whereas the human mind is semantic in its essence. For this reason artificial intelligence will never become conscious or self-aware. It is not like us. Its product may be real, but it will always be observer dependent, else be meaningless. When our kind invented the plowshare and trained an ox to plow our fields, the harvest was never the goal of the ox. Likewise, an AI serves the will of a human and is no more accountable for its results than that ox. It intends nothing on its own, since its action is predetermined exclusively by code and given data sources. Humans, by contrast, develop goals spontaneously out of a mix of possibilities, complicated psychological ingredients, and/or random inspiration. We define the purpose and goals that beget the many forms of our culture and civilizations. Any intelligent machine or robot designed by the art of man (“artificial,” from ars, “art,” and facere, “to make”) can only work the fields of our endeavors and serve our predetermined ends. And, finally, I doubt that we will ever replicate the mystery of the human brain in a computer for we hardly understand the conceptual source of our own creations. There is a transcendental divide between the neuron mapping of the brain and the ethereal concepts brewed in the mind. I might be persuaded that an AI will take over the world on its own account, but only when it can touch reality in a softly settling sun—that ever prodigal though faithfully returning beacon of life and the very emblem of existence itself.

We need not fear AI, any more than any other human creation or endeavor. But we should learn from our past technological advancements. For example, what should we have learned from the deployment of nuclear weapons in combat, from the extensive development of carbon based energy dependence, from agribusiness land use, from the introduction of antibiotic and hormonal drugs in our animal food stocks, from massive commercial ocean fishing, from production of synthetic foods, from large scale management of our water sources, and so on? AI, like any human technology, has both beneficial promise and potentially dangerous risks. Remember those unintended consequences. Imagine our nuclear defense system under the control of an AI—perhaps elements of it are already so managed. But the President always controls the “nuclear football.” He/she is our ultimate safeguard. When in my previous occupation I had occasion to work with an artificial intelligence, my project teams exercised extensive code testing, built-in technical safeguards, and human approval of AI suggested results before their implementation. Not to do so would have disregarded the warnings of the far more intelligent men referenced at the beginning of this article. The technology revolution has always had its risks. The uses of artificial intelligence are amongst them. Our past experiences with new technology can provide useful lessons. But, in the end, we will rise or fall on the basis of our very human intelligence.

The Nuclear Deal with Iran

The current debate in Congress about the nuclear agreement with Iran can be easily derailed for the same reason this agreement required nearly two years to conclude. The problem has to do with the intersection of politics and rationality. The President began negotiations on the basis of his belief that Iran’s leaders were rational. (I have often wondered whether fundamentalist revolutionaries could be rational.) Perhaps what the President meant was that they might be pragmatic when given no alternative. After nearly two years of international diplomacy, there will now be two months of congressional debates. The outcome should be the same, for there really is no realistic alternative. So why have these negotiations and support for their resolution met with such antagonism both in Iran and the U. S. Congress?

Charlie Rose gave us a glimpse into the problematic nature of these negotiations in his April interview with Iran’s Foreign Minister and chief negotiator, Dr. Mohammad Javad Zarif. Like nearly all of President Rouhani’s cabinet, Dr. Zarif has an advanced degree from an American University. So you would expect him to be a worthy and intelligent adversary across the table from our Secretary of State. But, frankly, I found his arguments in that interview not so much logical as cleverly misleading and excessively aversive to slight. The latter observation implies an attitude akin to hubris. But perhaps he was speaking to a different audience. Let me explain myself with the following examples.

Dr. Zarif stated that Iran never had any intention of developing an atomic bomb. If so, why did Iran enrich uranium, begin construction of a heavy water reactor, build out their centrifuge capability, construct a secret underground reactor at Fordow, and snub the legitimate inquiries of the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency)? His answer was to blame the American administration for failing to agree ten years ago to Iran’s pledge not to enrich Uranium. This reaction is odd since the principal opponents to Iran at that time were the Europeans. In the same vein, if Iran really never wanted to build a bomb, why did it take so long to agree not to do so? Dr. Zarif explained that the length of negotiations with the “Five Plus One” was more about distrust than about the actual intent of the Iranian nuclear program. With the distrust issue in mind, Charlie Rose referenced the hostage crisis of 1979. Dr. Zarif immediately retorted with the American overthrow of the duly elected Iranian government that preceded the holding of American diplomats. So the distrust issue can be seen as mutual. In Dr. Zarif’s estimate, it was further aggravated by U. S. sanctions that began in 2007 and were subsequently conjoined with international sanctions orchestrated by the Obama Administration. “Iranians are rational,” he added, so they naturally react against pressure. If rationality can be defined as reactive obstinacy, then I suppose Dr. Zarif may have a point. But I suspect his rationale has a different impetus.

Charlie Rose bluntly countered with the obvious question, “Was it not sanctions that brought Iran to the negotiating table?” “No”, Dr. Zarif protested, sanctions had nothing to do with Iran’s choice to participate in negotiations. Iran freely chose to negotiate in order to reestablish its place in the community of nations and preserve its dignity. Given this logic, then it would appear that Iran escalated its nuclear program out of spite for being slighted and agreed to dismantle it only after being accepted as an equal negotiating partner with France, Britain, the United States, Russia, China and Germany. If Dr. Zarif is to be believed, the billions of dollars Iran poured into its nuclear program were invested for the purpose of winning appreciation of Iran’s position in the Middle East. In other words, Iran just wanted respect for, as Dr. Zarif stated, “the U. S. does not respect the Iranian people.” Again, I doubt respect is the only—or even primary—explanation for Iran’s decision to negotiate with the members of the U.N. Security Council and Germany.

Further, some of Dr. Zarif’s reasoning defies logic and is deliberately misleading. While exhibiting the fervor of a true nationalist in his appeal for international respect, he also displayed the cunning of a sophist. For example, his explanation of Iran’s failure to comply with IAEA’s official requests for information was simply that response was not possible. These requests, he asserted, were based upon allegations that were not valid and, as anyone must know, “you can’t prove a negative.” This is a wonderfully circular argument that intimates the questioner must already know there is no answer to the question being asked. In the same vein, he argued that “the U. S. does not have authority to advise others on what to do or not to do with respect to nuclear armament” since it was the only country that actually deployed an atomic bomb. This argument is based upon a false equivalence: the U. S. faced an existential threat during World War II; whereas Iran’s nuclear ambitions confronted no such immediate threat. Those ambitions did, however, promise Iran greater hegemony over the Middle East. Furthermore, if it was ever attacked, the possession of a nuclear response might not only seem enticing, but justified. As a signatory to the non-proliferation treaty, Iran should not willfully put itself in the same position the U. S. confronted in World War II. Dr. Zarif seems to miss the very point of that treaty.

In any debate or negotiation, it is paramount to know your opponent. So what can we learn from Dr. Zarif’s apparent illogic? First, we know from his training and his presence that he is far too smart not to know the uses of logic and its limitations. Witness the actual agreement which is thoroughly thought through on both sides. (Unlike our representatives in Congress, I read it the day it was signed.) The technical and esoteric references in the indices definitely bear scrutiny, but the document itself does credit to the negotiators. Secondly, Dr. Zarif’s defensive stance on issues with the U. S. and the IAEA mirrors official Iranian positions which admit no culpability. More importantly, he seems to be appeasing the hardliners in Tehran. Though the Iranian people want the sanctions lifted, the revolutionary guard and the Ayatollah have not been enthusiastic over these negotiations. In other words, Dr. Zarif was addressing his political opposition, much as President Obama has done when he reiterates that “all options are on the table.” I believe it is likely that President Rouhani and President Obama both believe a diplomatic settlement to the nuclear issue is a better option than the alternatives—even though they both have influential critics within their government. Both men, however, have support from their population. Rouhani was elected to end the sanctions and the continuing conflict with the West. Obama was elected to end our military interventions in the Middle East. The settlement that was reached is quite explicit on these two issues: all paths to a nuclear weapon have been closed for 10 to 15 years with ongoing monitoring ad infinitum; and an exhaustive list of sanctions will be eliminated in sync with Iranian dismantling of critical elements of their nuclear program. The way this deal has been constructed, neither party provided their respective political opposition any other alternative—or, at least, an alternative that its citizens would support.

Given the mutual distrust between our nations, the strength of this agreement will hinge on its execution. The 24/7 monitoring and anytime inspection of known sites involved in Iran’s nuclear program are critical. If Iran is suspected of a clandestine nuclear program, like the Fordow plant, they have 14 days to provide an explanation and allow IAEA inspectors onsite. If they refuse, then the signatories must convene to adjudicate the issue within a 10 day window. The European countries and the U. S. will have majority control over that determination. This provision and the sanctions’ “snap-back” provision are the most problematic elements of the agreement because they deal with the possibility of cheating. Could we have obtained tighter control over this part of the agreement? Perhaps, but, as Dr. Zarif attested, “no country would allow ad hoc inspections of their military installations.” He had a point back in April. During the Rose interview, he reiterated the Ayatollah’s statement that Iran would never agree to inspections of its military installations. By July, the negotiators reached their compromise on that position. Neither party is completely happy with the result. But Congress can help strengthen the West position on Iranian misbehavior. They could authorize the President to use force if Iran is found to violate any provision of this agreement. This authorization could be an amendment to a resolution of approval. The last time the President asked Congress to grant him war powers over the Syrian use of nerve gas, Congress dithered. Likewise, it has failed to support the President’s bombing campaign against ISIL. But maybe this time our legislators will backstop the President’s non-proliferation agreement with Iran for no other reason than he has not asked for anything more constructive than their concurrence. Apparently, asking for congressional support only assures it will not be forthcoming.

U. S. and Iranian naysayers to this nuclear non-proliferation agreement justify their positions on distrust between their nations. But, actually, the distrust exists even more within their respective nations. Rouhani and Obama have steered their governments toward a rapprochement that no one could have anticipated, but that their respective populations sought. Those who oppose them have little knowledge of history. What the Treaty of Westphalia and the establishment of the United Nations established was a basis for settling matters of war and peace through diplomatic negotiations. I believe both Persians and Americans now have a new platform for future relationships between our countries. Given the conflict ridden cauldron of the Middle East, the alternatives are unthinkable.

When Education is not Education

In 1925, Martin Buber was asked to address the Third International Education Conference whose subject was “The Development of the Creative Powers of the Child.” What the organizers of the conference failed to anticipate was the response of an authentic deep thinker to the assumptions intimated by this preassigned subject. He began his lecture with a refutation of its title: he said “of the nine words (in the title) . . . only the last three raise no question for me.” The alleged capability identified as the “creative powers of the child” he felt was not properly designated. Further, the concept of “developing” this alleged creative ability in the child might risk misdirecting an individual away from his/her natural instincts, in effect destroying what was original in the very child to be educated. Today, I feel, we still struggle with what we mean by education itself. There are perhaps as many definitions of education as there are respective roles in our education system. Obviously, there are the teachers in our schools. They seem to know what they are doing. But they conduct their profession in a public school system that is governed by administrators, regulated by political appointees/legislators, and influenced by the expectations of parents. These non-teacher entities are the representative public. But do they know which teachers to support and what best practices to be replicated? This representative public hires teachers, buys textbooks, provides resources like computers and teaching aids, often determines curriculum, and manages overall behavioral standards for the classroom environment. Like Buber nearly a century ago, I question whether this “public” has properly designated what it means by “education.”

What Buber had to say 90 years ago still has relevance today and can be further extended to our very concept of education. Let’s start with Buber’s assessment. Are children born with unique creative ability? Well, they are born unique with many undeveloped potentials. We can all agree with that assertion. But creativity is an actual attribute, not a potential. When my pre-school daughter scribbled on her bedroom wall, I did not recognize artistic genius—just my baby playing with crayons. The capability she demonstrated was not creativity but the power of an originator. She, like all children, discover very quickly that they are subjects in a world of objects: playthings and the various forms in their environment are presented ready-made to be destroyed, moved, changed or tossed aside. Generally, we see our children at play and admire their spontaneity, curiosity, and ingenuity in the way they tear apart or put together whatever forms they find before them. A teacher, however, presents them with the specific forms of a curriculum. He/she attempts to harness their innate capability to effect change in their environment by focusing their attention on course material and the manner in which it can be manipulated to achieve objectives. Great teachers seem to know instinctively how to attract the child’s curiosity to the subject matter to be taught and how to guide them through the steps to acquire knowledge and, yes, the ability to use what they have learned to create for themselves and to relate to the world in which they were born. Sometimes we assume that the young student is a tabula rasa (an empty slate) that the teacher must fill up with knowledge and test like a computer program that returns only what has been stuffed into its code. The problem with this assumption is that it replaces development with compulsion—a kind of force-feeding—which can only lead to boredom, rebellion, or learned idiocy. (In a fundamentalist environment, it leads to a blind acceptance of principles that subvert the individual to the dictates of others.) The teacher is the developer who shows the way and guides the students along the path to becoming creators and producers in the world they will inherit. What Buber had to say about the misnomers of his time can be extended to ours. For example, what do we mean by “education?” The word comes from the Latin ex, “out of,” and ducere, “to lead,” and denotes a specific quality of leadership. The teacher does not just lead by example or by authority, but mainly by teasing out of the students not only interest in a subject, but the discipline to learn and apply it in their individual lives. A tuned violin still cannot play itself. But the curious student can be led by an astute teacher to develop the skills he/she has learned in the classroom to make a better version of the self and a more productive member of society. This learning bears no resemblance to achievements in standardized tests. The later provide a statistical framework for evaluating our public school system in a very generic way. But they are not nearly as useful in judging the individual student’s assimilation of subject matter into his/her life. The teacher is in a better position to make this kind of judgment because the teacher is the educator, the activating principle in the student’s learning, the Pied Piper luring young students forward. The teacher is not the tyrant who commands or the demagogue who incites, but the learned practitioner of the art of persuasion and the trusted guide into the realms of knowledge and, potentially, wisdom.

Let’s move beyond definitions to specific concerns with our public school system, beginning with the role of curriculum in education. The subject of curriculum is a complicated subject because it encompasses many moving parts: objectives, scope, continuity/integration, and appropriate gradation through age levels. There are places in the world where curriculum is solely determined by politics or religious predilections. Here in America, curriculum is sometimes influenced by the same factions, though generally not controlled by them. For example, there are states where teachers are told to teach creationism as part of a science curriculum. Another example is the fact that many textbooks have little to say about the role of women and minorities in America’s history. Perhaps a more generic influence from the political sector is the exclusive emphasis on math and science. The result has been a progressive decline in funding for the humanities—history, literature, art, music, and philosophy. This emphasis comes from a politically magnified “public” perception of the importance science and technology play in the growth of America’s economy. But political perception is not a solid basis for building a curriculum and not conducive to education per se. The ability for young minds to develop critical thinking, to become self-reflective, to learn from the past, to not only articulate original concepts, but to create them comes from a curriculum balanced by the humanities. My voice is not alone in making this observation. Teachers seem to understand it. But our contemporary public school system seems oblivious, partly due to economic and political pressures and equally as a result of losing its way. Somehow, school district administrators have become more engrossed with other areas such as test scores as a measure of student and teacher performance, with physical infrastructure in the form of facilities and resources, or with public image that mirrors whatever conventional wisdom rules the day. The educator in the classroom, as a result, may have less to say about what is taught in the classroom than the politician, the administrator, or naïve public opinion. In the state where I live 40% of the education budget is allocated to school district administration; and my state ranks in the bottom 10% of student performance across the United States. Teachers and curriculum are managed by a top-heavy bureaucracy that is controlled by non-educative forces, the so-called “representative public.” If this bureaucracy continues to define compulsory education, then the emphasis will be more on “compulsory” than on “education.”

I remember talking to a high school math teacher about his frustrations with many of his students. In spite of all the support he received from the school district, his students did not see the relevance of advanced math classes to their lives. He often cajoled them about the future job market and their limited prospects without a strong foundation in math. Their response, according to him, was apathy based upon a conviction that they already had all they needed in terms of wheels (many had cars), sexual relations, and even an occasional “high.” They had no need of advanced math skills. Unfortunately, even in their myopic adolescent context, they were inadvertently right. Though advanced math skills may help them get a job as a particular type of programmer or engineer, it would not help them live a better life unless those skills were wedded to a greater sense of purpose and self-worth. My point here is that jobs do not define who we are. Instead, we either define our jobs and the relationships that come with them, or are doomed to hollow careers. These students had no broader view of life’s prospects. Instinctively, their resistance to learning math was a blind admission that there must be more to life than a better paying job. They just had no way of identifying that life. Their teacher also had no way of integrating what math had to offer with a broader curriculum that included a perspective traditionally proffered by the humanities. For example, math is not just about manipulating numbers but a way of identifying and calculating numerical relationships that both enable us to engineer change and enhance our perspective of the world. The harmony of the cosmos has both a numerological component and philosophic/poetic/inspirational agency. These students were not prepared to see math in the context of beauty or purpose or personal meaning. The fault here does not lie with the teacher or his students, for it was the system that failed them both.

Finally, a public education system has to be a form of community. All elements of that system—parents, administrators, politicians/legislators, and teachers—need to work together. The head of this phalanx is the teacher, for the primary relationship is between the teacher and the student. But the other members of this community have an important support role. Parents, for example, want to support their children’s education. But they tend to air their frustrations with administrators rather than in constructive dialogue with their children’s teachers. Administrators can play the role of diplomats, but they cannot replace the teacher in explaining relationships in the classroom. They may be quite ineffective in this context; and parents are likely to be frustrated in their desire to support the education of their children. Teachers can also be frustrated, because they too often lack the influence they need to develop/reform educational policies. They turn to their unions to advocate not only for them but for their students. But the unions should only be representing teachers before the school districts. Misapplication of their role in respect to students only adds a political dimension and a confrontational aspect to the constructive relationships that are required within this educational community. Politicians/legislators are also part of this community and have an obligation to manage and fund school districts. But they have little or no competence in defining curriculum or evaluating what happens in a specific classroom. Their management is at the level of overall system performance. The tools they have for evaluating performance are generic and need to be tempered by school district assessments. And it is at this pivotal administration level where this education community seems most in jeopardy. All elements of the community speak to school principals and district managers/appointees. Their job is integral to communication within this community, but not to actual teaching in the classroom. They can effectively assist the teacher in many ways, with constructive performance reviews, with training, with classroom resources, with student behavioral issues, with effective monitoring of parent/teacher meetings, and with honest representation of actual teaching requirements in funding requests. But they cannot function in any of these capacities if they are not clear on the meaning of education and the primacy of the relationship between the teacher and the student. School administration can become a bloated bureaucracy, a black hole of communication, and a political apparatchik that serves no interest other than its own preservation. Wherever this prognosis may be valid, there is no effective education community and little if any support for the teacher in the classroom and ultimately for student achievements in our public school system.

Children are both the beneficiaries of our education system and the victims of its shortfalls. We, their forebears, naturally want to leave our children better prepared than we were to live a fulfilling life. Human progress demands as much. But, currently, our public education system is in decline. Parents are frustrated with it. Politics and bureaucracy obfuscate its purpose and befuddle reform. Teachers are blamed rather than empowered. And students are less inspired than handicapped by unbalanced and unintegrated curriculums. This level of dysfunction is the status quo only when “education” is not education.

The Weirdness of American Politics

Our system of two major political parties has produced much contention and a surprising amount of weirdness. The former is obvious from our history; the latter might be just my peculiar obsession. Let me first elaborate on what I mean: what is or is not the weirdness that seems to bother me.

You would not expect a donkey to crush you with its front hoofs or an elephant to kick you with its rear legs. Yet both the Republican and Democratic parties switch their attack modes indiscriminately. In sync with these switches are reversals in strongly held ideological positions and traditional policy positions. There are so many examples of these inconsistencies that it is hard to envision how anybody can cling to party loyalty for more than one election cycle. Here are a few samples that make my point:
• A Democratic President ordered the only use of nuclear weapons in war (Truman); and a second Democratic President threatened their use in defense of a territorial protectorate dating back to the Monroe Doctrine (Kennedy).
• The Republican President who spoke most eloquently against entitlements strongly supported “a welfare system structured not to trap the poor in dependency but to enable them to escape poverty” (Nixon). That same President, an avowed anti-communist, opened relationships with communist China.
• Two Republican Presidents in succession raised taxes in order to forestall impending debt crises (Reagan and Bush 41).
• A Democratic President eliminated the barrier between traditional and investment banking (the repeal of the Glass Steagall Act) which put individual deposits at risk in the market for financial securities like derivatives and, in great part, enabled the Great Recession of contemporary times (Clinton). The same President sponsored reform of the welfare system to reduce long term dependency and promote re-employment education and job placement services.
• A Republican President proposed a plan that would have reformed the nation’s immigration policies and granted a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants (Bush 43). That same President sponsored a huge expansion of the Pentagon, intelligence agencies, and deficit spending.
• A Democratic President, with a Democratic majority in both houses of the legislature, was able to advance a healthcare program based upon the Republican proposition of mandated private insurance for everyone (Obama).
So what can we construe from this short list of paradoxes? Democrats are not always wisps on foreign policy, anathema to business interests, and sublimely socialist on domestic issues. Republicans, on the other hand, are not the only war mongers and staunch supporters of reduced taxation, of limited government, of mindless or insensitive constriction in entitlements, and of immigration reform that both curtails and deports illegals. Given the actual track record of the Parties, what can be said about the relevance of ideology and consistency in party politics? Perhaps not much! And maybe not weird either.

We are accustomed to politicians changing positions. Sometimes the opportunism behind these changes is so apparent as to be ridiculous and the welcome gist of satire. But they are tolerated as “politics as usual,” and not considered weird. And I would agree—though with some stipulation. Presidents in particular should not be wedded to a party-line because they are elected to serve all parties in the electorate. For the most part, I believe we elect people as much for their character as for their policy positions. In other words, we trust them and entrust our government to their honesty and wisdom. For example, in 2008 we elected a “progressive” who promised to change the divisive atmosphere in Washington among his many campaign promises. His first attempt to create bipartisan support for his progressive agenda was health care reform based upon a decades old Republican proposal already enacted in Massachusetts. The Republicans were irate for he had stolen their only stake in the game. The Democrats were disappointed their President did not put forth a new government program along the lines of “Medicare for all.” He even killed the so-called “public option.” But, at the time, the President commandeered his party with a 70% approval rating and apparently large coattails. Besides, Congressional Democrats seemed to enjoy rubbing their majority in the face of Republican opposition. But in fact they found it difficult to embrace the President’s healthcare reform as evidenced by their unwillingness to defend it in the mid-term elections. The Democrats won a Pyrrhic victory: they passed healthcare reform, but on the basis of a private insurance market that they genetically detested. Republicans lost the battle at the hands of their own sword and, in the process, lost the opportunity to defuse new regulatory restrictions on that private market. Neither party got what they wanted out of the healthcare debate. But the American people got Obamacare with all its benefits and regulatory baggage. So what is so weird about a new program that neither party fully supported? Well, nothing really! The party of Lincoln, remember, was not wholly enthused with the civil rights legislature of the 60s, and the Democrats who passed it lost the Southern portion of their party for generations.

Democracy is messy. Change comes from elections, but not wholly formed. Debates in Congress will push and pull new proposals into almost unrecognizable forms. When passed by majorities in both Houses and signed by the President, new programs may be established but may still not be in final form. Civil rights laws from the 1960’s are still being amended in legislatures and clarified in courts. Medicare has seen more than a few modifications over time. Voting rights, housing discrimination, free trade treaties, tax law, and so many other policies will continue to be refined and debated. Democracies and their governance will always be—and must be—in flux. Parties change sides. Liberal prescriptions for change become conservative positions in another era, and vice versa. And Presidents can be out of sync with party ideology, especially when they respond to their perception of the general welfare. So what is the weirdness I find in American politics today?

The determinant factor in a democracy has to be the will of the people. When our elected officials do not respond to the public will, weirdness has entered into our democratic reality. Whether its gun laws, immigration reform, tax law inequities, campaign finance reform or a host of other issues, there seems to be a disconnect between the electorate and elected officials. The latter seem more intent on serving minority interest and campaign funding sources than the American voters (reference “The Clash of Minorities”). Strict party line voting is another type of weirdness in our democracy. About two thirds of the electorate tends to vote for the same party in every election without regard to changes in platform. Perhaps voters are not paying attention to changing party positions. Perhaps they simply are not listening to the issues being debated or are only paying attention to the arguments with which they already agree. Democracy is messy and in constant flux. If we pay no attention to that flux, then we become responsible for the ensuing chaos. As we enter the season of Presidential politics, we will see politicians taking positions without substance (“Obamacare is a job killer”) and saying things that boggle the mind (“self-deportation” or “jihadists will kill us all”). Politicians may do whatever they think will get them attention and possibly elected. We, as the keepers of our democracy, must be attentive to all sides of an issue and vote our best judgment. It is not the political voices we hear, but the internal voice of reasoned reflection and conscience that can eliminate the weirdness of American politics.

Democracy boasts many freedoms. But individual freedom comes at a price. That price is accountability. Blind party loyalty suspends individual accountability—and therefore freedom—to a collective. The virtual public forum where all sides of an issue can be weighed is in each of our minds. Disregard the abstract nonsense about the “destruction of our way of life” or the promise to “make America great again.” Listen carefully to both sides of a real issue—like immigration or tax reform—and imagine yourself on the other side of your chosen position. Only when you can understand an opposing view will you be in a position to make an informed judgment and vote your conscience. You will then be in that public forum where democracies live and evolve. You will also help free me from my obsession with the weirdness of American politics.

The Politics of Fear

There is “nothing to fear but fear itself,” President Roosevelt told an anxious citizenry. The fear he referenced was based upon the reality of Pearl Harbor and of enemy subs firing shells at the West Coast (a few fell harmlessly on vacant farmlands). Those events seemed like harbingers of a full scale invasion and a realistic basis for widespread fear and its corollary, a gut response. One columnist in California proclaimed that he hated all Japanese, including those born in this country. But Roosevelt was trying to exercise leadership by quelling an over reactive mass hysteria and, at the same time, focusing the nation on the task at hand—which was building the armaments and resources needed for full scale war. The nation was facing a real existential threat that required a massive mobilization effort. Decades later on 9-11 America suffered another attack upon its homeland. Although on this occasion the nation was not facing an existential threat, President Bush recognized that he would need support both from the American people and from Congress in order to exact justice on the culprits. That support was readily given in the polls and in legislative action. But, other than garnering support, he never required anything else from the American people. When he extended his war powers to include Iraq, his Administration used the age old political tool of inciting fear. Remember the “evidence” that Hussein was plotting with terrorists and harboring nuclear weapons or the image of a mushroom cloud hanging over an American city. The politics of fear are not just of recent vintage: state leaders and politicians have used fear to manipulate a susceptible public throughout history. But the use of fear in this manner—to obtain war authority—is not leadership, for it asks nothing of its followers other than the license to wage war in their name. We were never asked to do more than watch “shock and awe” on television and vow support for our troops. Machiavelli once said that “a prince must have no other object and no other thought than war and its methods and conduct . . .” The use of fear is one of those methods, assuring the desired public reaction of acquiescence to the prince’s power to wage war. But Machiavelli was a despot. Persuasion was merely part of his arsenal to disarm naysayers so that he might exercise state power freely. His type of leadership should have no influence in a free, democratic society. President Bush may have commanded a volunteer army that represented half of one percent of the U. S. population, but he never persuaded the American people to do anything other than blindly acquiesce to the invasion of Iraq. In a democracy, however, we would expect debate on matters of war and peace and a public persuaded to some form of common action. You may think this analysis is too harsh. But ask yourself whether Americans would have supported our recent wars if a war tax had been suggested or if a selective service system had been proposed for reinstatement. President Roosevelt in effect did both, raised revenue and called Americans to arms. President Bush only asked for a license to do whatever his Administration decided. His initial cause was just; his intent may have been pure; but his sole rallying cry was based on fear. That fear was indeed something to fear in itself, for it blinded Americans to reality and to the war’s false justification.

Since World War II, America has engaged in many military conflicts around the world. Those conflicts have changed history, but too often not in favor of our objectives. Witness North Korea, Vietnam, Somalia, Libya, Iraq, and now Syria, to name a few. My thesis today is simply that we have allowed the definition of “existential threat” to be inflated well beyond its meaning and have fallen victim to the politics of fear. I am not advocating disengagement from world affairs, but for more honesty from our leaders and much more participation by the American public. Given all the military engagements of the intervening decades, how many Americans have even reflected on the fact that we have not had to defend our nation from a foreign state since World War II? We have instead interjected our military in civil wars where the ultimate outcome had little likelihood of being determined by America. Our troops were put in harm’s way to assuage our fears of radical ideologies like communism or extreme jihadism, wayward dictators who posed no threat to America, and the unproven existence of WMDs in a country without the means to deliver them. And yet, since World War II, the only effective use of our military power against an actual existential threat was as a deterrent in the Cuban missile crisis. President Kennedy’s deft use of that deterrent averted World War III. He also gave substance to President Theodore Roosevelt’s foreign policy mantra, “speak softly but carry a big stick.” The emphasis here is on “carry.” Currently, America has the biggest stick and the most effective deterrent to any existential threat since the Roman Empire. In addition, we also have significant financial, cultural, and diplomatic capabilities with which to influence the world community. Our use of military power to defend ourselves has never been questioned. But any deviant exercise of that power runs the risk of undermining our global influence and betraying the trust of the American public. Amongst other core values outlined in the preamble to our Constitution, the United States of America was formed to “provide for the common defense.” This country has no colonies, no empire, and no fiefdoms to protect. But we will defend our nation and by extension our allies, because we exist for ourselves foremost and as a beacon of freedom for the world. As an enlightened nation, we should never permit our leaders to govern by fear. Our founding fathers outlined for us a path forward that called for public debate and consensus. These prescriptions demand reasoned decision making from our representatives, not manipulative fear mongering. Too many times of late, we have been flummoxed by the politics of fear, rather than honest judgment.

In America we are at the beginning of an extended electoral campaign. This is the season where the politics of fear will pour into every media catch basin and overflow into the fertile unconscious of all of us. Already presidential candidates have stated that “jihadists will kill us all,” presumably unless we kill them first, that Russia will retake its empire and threaten America with its nuclear arsenal, that China’s rise will hold America’s debt in the balance as it extends its power over all of Asia, that immigrants from our southern border will infringe our freedoms and steal benefits and resources from law-abiding Americans. According to the fear brokers, we need strong leaders who will deploy our troops in Syria and Iraq, bolster Ukraine with high-powered armaments and U. S. military advisors, sail warships into the South China Sea, and buffer our southern borders with even greater military force and drones. Certainly, there are real global issues that America faces in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Asia, and our own Western Hemisphere. But the only existential threat America faces at this time is from within. Gridlock and partisanship in Washington has stymied effective governance. Growing financial inequality threatens the fabric of society where not only income but wealth, education, and opportunity are relegated to an ever-decreasing privileged. The nation’s outstanding productivity is squandered with trillions of dollars spent on foreign wars while our infrastructure withers from lack of investment and our inner cities become conclaves of poverty where only neglect and desperate crime prosper. And perhaps the biggest existential threat is a pliable citizenry duped by the politics of fear.

The politics of fear may be a proven way to win over an electorate, but it treads a dangerous path towards governance. For fear suborns judgment. Remember “the only thing to fear is fear itself.”

Is ISIL’s Utopia Dead on Arrival?

The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) has a utopian vision of a community established on its definition of Islamic values. But their community will be like no other the world has seen for well over a millennium. In fact, the community they ultimately want to build seems to be not of this world. For their leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, portrays himself as the caliph precursor to that messianic leader (Mahdi) who will lead Muslims to ultimate victory before the end of time. This type of apocalyptic vision is not unusual in world religions. You can find eschatological references in both the Jewish and Christian traditions. Since I am not an Islamic scholar, I cannot comment on the nature of the Muslim afterlife. What I can comment on, however, is the nature of the community they seek to establish in this world. It is a community that seeks to expand beyond all borders and to extend ISIL’s interpretation of Sharia law over all it conquers. This interpretation is not recognizable to contemporary Muslims. For example, ISIL has greatly extended its use of excommunication (takfir). In its most strict application, Sharia law would require a death sentence for any apostate, that is, a Muslim who denies the Koran or the Prophet. But ISIL would dole out the death penalty for many other non-conforming behaviors, to include shaving one’s beard, wearing western clothes, selling alcohol or drugs, voting or participating in a democracy, governing Muslims without the strictest adherence to Sharia law, lacking full-throated support for naming and condemning apostates, or simply being a Shi’ite. The latter sin encompasses over 200 million Shi’a. ISIL’s contention with the Shi’a runs deep. For it believes the anti-Messiah (Daijal) will arise from the eastern regions of Shi’ite Iran and trigger the final battle in Jerusalem where the ISIL caliphate will emerge victorious. Since ultimate victory is preordained, no setback can sway the course of ISIL. Before that last triumph, ISIL interprets the sacred texts to outline another historic victory on the plains of Dabiq (currently a Syrian city under ISIL’s control and the name of ISIL’s magazine) where the “armies of Rome” will be defeated. “Rome” here may be a pseudonym for Istanbul, the seat of the former Ottoman Empire and the last caliphate, or America, the “great Satan.” This projection of America as the “Rome” of modern times is the basis for brutally killing American hostages and constantly tempting the US government to send its armies to fight ISIL. America is being invited to an inevitable defeat at the hands of a preordained ISIL victory. All humanity will then cower to the caliphate and adhere to ISIL’s version of Sharia law. Except for those Christians who accept the caliphate’s authority, possible enslavement, and a special tax (jizya), ISIL will slay any remaining infidels (kuffar). All that will remain in the end is an ISIL community ruled by its caliph and governed by the sacred dictates of the Koran and ISIL’s interpretation of Sharia law.

Before delving further into the nature of ISIL’s prophetic vision of conquest and Islamic utopia, I should note that nearly all Sunni Muslims do not agree with ISIL. In fact, the vast majority of the apostates slaughtered so far by ISIL are Sunni. ISIL considers this genocide necessary to maintain the homogeneity of its community and assure strict obedience and absolute commitment to its world vision. In exchange for this gruesome purge of apostates, ISIL will provide a stable community for its followers, where food, clothing, and healthcare are provided for everyone—and even a job, for those who want to work. The measure of this community is its ongoing conquests and enslavement of the conquered, giving license for its members to fire their weapons in the air, shout with joy, and dance in the streets. The community, then, is defined by its success in battle and the extension of its dominion. Infidels and apostates are the scapegoats for all that hinders or encumbers the community and must be liquidated. As a political philosophy, this type of merciless pursuit of power, domination, and scapegoating is not unfamiliar to the West. It is called fascism. As a social philosophy, it begs the question of what is a community. People forced to live under conditions of strict mandates or be doomed to extermination cannot be reasonably expected to form binding, constructive relations between individuals. The emphasis is on group success in conquest; the individual is immaterial to that end. The governing impetus is fear; the mandated response is absolute obeisance; and the overriding mission is uncompromising preservation of the status quo. An actual community, by contrast, is alive with creative energy where its members actively engage with each other in the development of new art forms, progressive education, and the evolution of support systems and a culture that better serve its general welfare. Amassing people into a closed, oppressive system is not unlike collecting animals for the cages in a zoo. ISIL does not provide for a community, but a collective.

Living a life of strict orthodoxy can be fulfilling if its adherence to rules and ritual is a willing engagement with the inspiration behind those rules and rituals. Out of a period of persecution, Mohammed established a community (the Ummah) governed by a system of jurisprudence to secure the peace and prosperity of Muslims, Jews, Christians, and pagans. Its initial inspiration was for racial equality, religious freedom, uniform enforcement of the law, protection of women, and the preservation of the community. How could anybody identify these founding principles with the ISIL community? It is possible, however, for ISIL to justify its murderous ways from sacred texts written in ancient times. Taken out of historical context and interpreted literally, these texts, like elements of the Christian bible, could be quoted by the devil himself. It is true that Mohammed fought wars ruthlessly to secure the Moslem community. But his community was inclusive and founded on principles of mutual respect and compassion. He also said, if you will forgive my paraphrase, to murder another is to murder one’s self. In another blog (reference “Tempered Reactions to Paris Massacres”), I stated that there is no such thing as a religious terrorist. What I meant did not exclude a terrorist from using a faux religion to justify terrorism. Religion is not and cannot be merely a set of prescriptions that separates humanity into warring camps. Instead, all the great world religions provide signposts to a transcendent experience that brings us in harmony with the ground of our being and with each other. ISIL may be religious in the sense that it clothes itself in the words of the Koran, but it is not a religion. For example, its concept of martyrdom, the suicide bomber who slaughters infidels and apostates, is not a gateway to everlasting bliss, but a meaningless annihilation of being and the spiritual essence of the so-called martyr. By contrast, Jesus Christ, considered a great prophet in the Islamic tradition, gave his life to protect his disciples, not to kill those opposed to him. He died for love of others. All the world religions have love of others or the golden rule of doing no harm as a centerpiece of their belief systems. What ISIL proposes as religion is actually anti-religious. Let’s review its primary proposals. It vindicates its mission based upon past injustices such as the crusades, colonialism and despotic leaders supported by the West. It inspires its followers with the promise of a utopian community under the auspices of Allah. It advocates the establishment of this new community with an urgency emanating from an eminent apocalypse. And so we have an ISIL community born of vengeance and inspired by millenarian fantasy. Its enemy is the past; its future, a new world order—ultimately one not of this world. What is missing in this new community is the present, the world we currently inhabit for which we are communally responsible.

As an American, my analysis is naturally biased. The founding principles of this country were derived after the religious wars of Europe and were based on the principles inspired by the Enlightenment and natural law. The separation of church and state is fundamental to these principles, thereby guaranteeing the ability to practice any religion, free of government interference. On our streets, we can see the hijab, the cassock, the Sikh headdress, or the shaved head of a Buddhist monk. Every American is free to choose a faith and to follow his/her own path to Self-awareness and to the mysteries of life, while governance is left to a common wisdom born of the rational capacity in every citizen. (I could mischievously exempt certain politicians who seem to foreswear common sense in lieu of a voting constituency, campaign donors, and/or lobbyists.) When Mohammed established the rule of religious tolerance, he was recognizing something that is basic to the nature of religion: every human shares the experience of self-awareness and of its transcendent nature. That experience opens us to the mystery of our existence—to God and to each other. It is also at the core of our sense of community—why we feel connected, why we help one another in our daily interactions. Even philosophers, who swear allegiance to no specific religion, attribute human altruism (even Kant’s moral imperative) to an inherent religious impetus. Religion, therefore, cannot be vengeance for past actions or violence perpetrated for future glory. The former is the justification for fascism; the latter is the inspiration of fanaticism.

The seeds planted by ISIL are poisonous not only to its adversaries, but to itself. Of course, ISIL cannot see the root of its own demise. It believes it cannot be bombed out of existence, for any military confrontation serves only to justify its mission. By some estimates, the number of ISIL fighters killed in battle each month is replenished by an equal number of new recruits. Also, it cannot be put down in debate. Its followers are unable to engage in any dialogue for they simply turn a deaf ear to the infidel or apostate whom they consider a non-person. What ISIL cannot do, however, is to create a vibrant community or justify its existence on rational or religious grounds. Brute force cannot create, but only compel. Herein is the fruit of ISIL’ self-immolation, its destructive destiny. So what can the rest of the world do, other than to watch its eventual collapse from within?

Today, the Middle East is a cauldron of suffering masses. Taking the long view of history, we might yet witness the emergence of one of those breakthrough moments, when communities, even civilizations, have suddenly awakened to a new reality. Such breakthroughs have resulted in revolutions, social reconstructions, or a significant evolution in the zeitgeist of an era. It is clear that the Middle East in general is on the verge of such a breakthrough. ISIL is but a cancer that has opportunistically grown out of the civil unrest that exists in both Syria and Iraq. Both of these countries governed inequitably and suppressed large portions of their citizens. In fact, the entire Middle East has writhed with this malady for generations. The Arab “spring” gave voice to this long-suffering. But, if change is on the horizon, it will have to rise from within. ISIL will only prolong the agony. The rest of the world can help indirectly, but not with military intervention or the provision of more deadly armaments. I do have a few personal prescriptions, but they should be taken with an obvious caveat. I am no expert on Middle Eastern diplomacy. Nevertheless, may I offer a few discussion points for the consideration of the more informed:
• In the interest of containing ISIL, shut off its markets for oil and the laundering of money through underground banking.
• In an effort to undercut ISIL’s opportunistic use of tribal antagonism, promote some measure of diplomatic rapprochement between Iran and its Arab Sunni neighbors. A starting point might be with a diplomatic agreement to halt the Houthi rebellion and to negotiate a political compromise for mutual governance in Yemen. Any agreement of this nature could be the precursor to developing some form of common cause against ISIL and an eventual political settlement to the civil unrest in both Syria and Iraq. As long as Iran remains the outlier, not only will there be no joint action, but even the Sunni states will remain largely on the sidelines, allowing Iran to go it alone.
• In order to defuse concerns among the Arab Sunni nations, conclude the Iran nuclear non-proliferation talks as soon as possible and stage a major diplomatic mission to apprise these nations of the security benefits and of the verifiable nature of the resultant agreement. (Of course, this effort depends upon the effectiveness of the final agreement.)
• With the purpose of countering ISIL propaganda, promote the use of social media to refute the historical, religious, and apocalyptic justifications for ISIL’s barbarous, anti-religious actions. The traditional world press has a role to play here as well. An Islamic reformation has been underway since the 7th century, but its nature is hardly referenced in journalistic and broadcast media. The voice of modern Islam has not been heard, largely because Western media has limited its access to the general public as well as to those caught underfoot of ISIL. (Remember what followed Christian persecution, internecine wars of conquest, crusades, and eventual inquisitions were reformation and the ecumenical movement. Islam has long been on this same path.)
• Break the stalemate with Russia over a political settlement in Ukraine. We need Russia to be more constructive in any diplomatic efforts undertaken with Syria or Iran. The Western allies may need to concede some form of local governance in Eastern Ukraine—without admitting Russia’s right to intervene militarily. The government in Kiev has long considered some form of federation, granting more self-governance to eastern Ukraine. More than that concession, the West may have to admit its hand in slighting Russia since the end of the Cold War. Two facts are relevant here: first, the West is guilty of attempting to isolate Russia financially and of allowing NATO’s extension to its borders; second and more relevant here, China supports the Russian position and its actions in Ukraine. This last fact is relevant because we need China, as well as Russia, not only in the “five plus one” nuclear agreement with Iran but also in any constructive diplomatic discussions with the nations of the Middle East. China is now a large importer of Middle Eastern Oil and a growing influence in that region.
• Pressure the government in Bagdad to offer more self-government to the Sunni minority now under the control of ISIL. In order to make this offer real, it might be required to reform the Iraq constitution to form a three state confederacy composed of the three major political factions of Kurds, Sunni, and Shi’a. Under this constitution, the “federal” government would be responsible for recruiting and managing a common military defense force, for securing the civil rights of all citizens, and for sharing resources equitably among the states, including the disbursement of income derived from oil. This political framework was once suggested by the Vice President and rejected at the time for lack of support both within the government in Bagdad and the U. S. Administration. Perhaps now is the right time to re-introduce this framework for governing those pseudo states that are drifting further apart with every ISIL victory or incursion into Sunni territory. Soon it will be too late to win back the Iraqi Sunnis.
• And, finally, we need to tighten our security net against terrorism, starting in Europe where are intelligence support is vital both to Europe and to extending our security as far as possible from our own borders.

It remains to be seen how relevant any of these prescriptions may be. The future is as uncertain as the outcome of the “hundred years” war or the Christian reformation. But ISIL will eventually decay from within. There is no grand strategy to defeat an idea, other than its own refutation. ISIL’s grand idea is dead on arrival, for it is not a vision of a community blessed by Allah and preordained for world conquest. Instead, it is humanity’s nightmare: a vision of dystopia.

Soldiers on a Beat?

My first night on guard duty in a combat zone was met with a typical Vietnam welcome: a bullet whizzing by my head. In an instant I dropped to my knees and surveyed the area before my guard tower. My heart was beating loud and fast; and every sense was heightened in intensity. If I had seen a single bush move, I would have instantly turned my M60 in that direction and sprayed it with gunfire. But all was calm before me. A month later, I found myself actually facing moving bushes, but they were not swaying in a soft breeze. They were slowly moving in my direction, likely sappers leading the way for an all-out attack. Since I was alone, my position was in danger of being over-powered. Fortunately, I was able to call for support. A gunship rescued me that night. But even with the gunship’s hell fire raining down on the enemy, I felt compelled to empty my magazine into the fray. In neither situation did I act on my best moral assessment of the situation. I did what any soldier was trained to do AND what nature’s instinct compelled.

When I wrote “A Culpable Innocence,” I tried to capture what my fellow Vietnam veterans experienced in that war. Their experience is not different in kind from what police experience in like situations, though on a different scale. When an officer is faced with a hostile environment—real or potential—he or she will instantly feel a heightened intensity and propensity to act. What will determine the course of his or her action? My experience—and the experience of any soldier who has faced combat—would predict a response dependent upon an instantaneous state of mind and prior training. Adrenaline is usually the most significant influence on that state of mind and it tends to track with the extent of the perceived threat. But it does not have to be incited by a gun pointed in your direction. It might be just a walk in a neighborhood where past crimes have been committed. In this case, the “moving bush” is in the head. An officer who feels threatened can be just as ready to use deadly force as an officer approaching an armed suspect. In the latter case, the risk of an escalation is heightened. If deadly force is triggered and other officers are present, they may be drawn into the fray without aforethought. This type of escalation can act like an adrenaline avalanche where the combined response of multiple officers far exceeds the threat, mirroring the effect of a combat operation more than a civil police action. Although officers are not soldiers in combat, they are subject to the same visceral reactions.

So what can we do about the situation of officers using deadly force inappropriately? Many suggestions are being considered. For example, we could provide body cams to our officers. But this solution may not be a very good preventive remedy, since we are most likely dealing with the spontaneous, unpremeditated use of deadly force. (And, frankly, if an officer had premeditated murder on the mind, he or she would simply turn off the camera.) Body cams have their greatest value after-the-fact, enabling investigation and possible punishment. They may not be very effective deterrents. Another course of action might be the use of sanction. We could severely punish officers who use deadly force inappropriately. But would that be a deterrent to any officer caught in the moment of immediate peril, perceived or real? I think not; for that moment demands reaction, not reflection. Also, that reaction may more readily turn violent, if the officer has suffered stress recently in either personal or professional life. When I served in Vietnam, I witnessed more than a few soldiers so traumatized by firefights or shell shocked by night bombardments that they had become walking hair-triggers. The accumulation of high stress experiences or even a single violent incident can take any person to that hair-trigger edge. Perhaps we can learn from the soldier’s experience in combat zones.

One of the remedies currently being discussed and implemented in many parts of the country is what is called “community policing.” I remember the account of an Iraqi veteran who reported no casualties in his unit or in the civilian population where they were imbedded during his tour. He said his unit had daily contact with civilians, not only engaging with them in conversation but working with them in their communities. The Iraqis accepted these soldiers not as an occupied army, but as protectors from the more violent elements of an ongoing civil war. The replacement unit that followed took a different tack, alienating themselves from the civilian community. Their experience was markedly different, engaging in regular combat with insurgents and suffering several casualties. So connecting with communities can be effective. This form of policing needs to be part of police training. In addition, police academies should qualify candidates for acceptance based upon those relational characteristics required for community policing. Since the draft was terminated, the military has strengthened to some degree its admittance criteria. Just as not anybody in the general population can become a good soldier, not any individual who wants to wear a police uniform should. Our police force demands a special type of individual, level-headed and dedicated to public safety. We also need to take better care of our on-duty officers. We do not want traumatized or stressed-out police walking our streets, especially where crime is prevalent. The military, for instance, used to recognize the need to relieve soldiers in combat zones with periodic R & R (rest and recuperation). Any officer who has been engaged in a shoot-out or any stressful situation either on or off the job should be allowed recuperation time, perhaps paid leave or reassignment to some community-involved tasks. We definitely do not want a hair-trigger officer patrolling our streets. And, finally, we need to deal more effectively with the incidence of biased policing. Eliminating preconceptions and bias in the police force is no different than eliminating it in the general population. Naturally, police training should address the issue of racial profiling. Just like everybody else, police need to examine their prejudices and assess the effect on their professional conduct. I have written about this subject matter in a number of blogs (reference “Racial Bias: A Conceit or Merely a Context,” “The More Subtle Relevance of George Zimmerman,” “Telltale Biases,” and “Soulfulness”). Each generation seems to extend the moral boundaries towards greater inclusiveness, regardless of race, gender, sexual preferences, and body types. This spirit of inclusiveness would be helped if police recruitment better represented the community served. But, regardless, police officers will still reflect the cultural biases of the general population.

Throughout this nation there are millions of daily interactions between police and civilians. I suspect nearly all of those interactions service public safety. As much as we decry the misuse of excessive police force, we need to recognize what service these men and women provide to the general public. And we need to assure their care and training is up to the dangerous task we set for them. Since we seem unable to muster the majority needed to disarm criminals, we arm and train police to use deadly force when they or others are threatened with the same. In a sense, we have put them in the same sort of danger as our military. But they are the servants of public order and peace, not soldiers on a beat.

The Clash of Minorities

What makes America so special? And how has it become the oldest democracy in history? Seen from beyond its border, it is readily identifiable as a country of great diversity. Its heritage may be born of Europeans fleeing less inviting circumstances, but its population and culture have evolved with the influx of immigrants from every corner of the globe. In addition, the combination of our public school system, diverse employment opportunities, interstate mobility, and advanced education institutions has made for a robust economy that breeds productivity gains even during blips in our GDP. For many around the world, America is still seen as both a melting pot and the “land of opportunity.” But for those who chose not to live here and see America from afar, we also appear to be a land of great chaos: we are armed to the teeth and kill each other at alarming rates for a developed country; our politics swing wildly between extremes of the left and right over issues like civil rights, gun control, or abortion; and we tend to conduct foreign policy like evangelists converting the world to our principles of free enterprise and democracy without regard for other cultures or history. We may indeed be a melting pot. But, if so, we are constantly brewing, bubbling, and even boiling over. The rest of the world both admires our ingenuity and enthusiasm and is wary of our ambition and excesses.

Seen from within its borders, our apparent chaos is just the working out of our nation’s founding principles. One of the wonders of America, besides the goals expressed in our Constitution, is the system of government founded on that text. The checks and balances prescribed therein give voice to every segment of the population—from congressional districts and states of all sizes to the general populace vote for the presidency as represented in the Electoral College. And that founding document has also given us an independent judiciary to settle our disputes, interpret the application of law, and arbitrate justice for all. However wonderful this system of government may be—Churchill seemed to think it was the best amongst the dregs of human history—it appears to rest upon a few assumptions about human nature. Two of those assumptions are my subject matter today. First, as John Adams so clearly identified, our system of government depends upon an informed electorate. Second, although it is designed to give voice to minorities, it presumes that the majority’s decisions will rule. In other words, if we self-govern the way our founding fathers intended, we would be constantly engaged in informed debate where all affected parties are heard and where resolution of the debate is decided by a majority vote. The pot may be brewing, but it needs to be deliberately stirred into a peaceful mixture, where the hard lumps are melted down into a balanced suspension. Our history has witnessed various minorities—ethnic, racial, LGBT, and women’s groups—who have helped to stir the pot and have demanded change that the majority deliberated and eventually voted into law.

The problem we are currently facing is a contemporary anomaly: there is no informed majority participating in the decision making process of our democracy. Whether through apathy or ignorance, the majority seems to have left the public forum to the special interests and issue driven concerns of minorities. Lobbyists of different special interests fight for their respective minorities’ causes or positions. Far right or far left minority groups petition and win not only the legislature’s agenda, but its concurrence on issues the majority would never support. Do the majority of Americans really support the closing of clinics dedicated to women’s health, the lack of universal background checks for the purchase of firearms, the manipulation of voting districts so that a national party can control the legislature without winning a majority of the votes (referring to the Republicans now, but equally to the Democrats previously), the evolution of a tax structure that favors the wealth accumulation of a minority over the wage earning majority, the imposition by a specific minority of religious rights over civil rights where both religious and civil freedoms of the majority may be violated, and the fire-breathing, outspoken minority who consistently preach a foreign policy governed by military options rather than diplomatic engagement? The question I am posing is not whether you agree or disagree with the various positions I just enumerated. I am highlighting the fact that there appears to be a majority of opinion on all of these issues that seems unaccounted in the decision making process. Most of us would like to see our roads and bridges repaired where needed, our future social security funds protected, a fairer tax system, affordable higher education for our children, an electoral system more dependent on our vote than the amount of campaign money raised, and (yes) affordable AND effective healthcare for our families. Even when these universally popular concepts are voiced by our politicians, they are immediately overwhelmed by the issues of well-organized minorities. Our governance is no longer in our hands, even though we are the majority. And yet our Constitution clearly gives us the power to govern ourselves. All we need to do is be informed and vote. So who do we blame for the apparent dysfunction in Washington?

At both the State and Federal level, too much legislative priority is given to minority issues—most often well-funded special interests—at the expense of the general welfare. How does a florist issue with servicing a gay wedding or a single woman’s decision to seek an abortion or the political statement of a faux “repeal” vote of established law deserve more priority than the high cost of college education, the growing student debt crisis, a decaying infrastructure, tax law inequities that both negate fair business competition and middle class wealth creation, the excesses of campaign fund raising, and so many other concerns that affect the majority of American families. If we want our vote to count more than the almighty dollar, then we have to wield the power we already have. Otherwise, the serious issues of our time remain unaddressed while we become mere spectators to the clash of minorities.

The I Behind Me

(For lost souls . . .)

Trapped in a trickster funhouse,
I shrink at freakish reflections that seem only to mock,
Sometimes distorted, sometimes distraught,
They mirror the facades in which I’m caught.

Caught in the grip of despair,
I punch the empty specters much like one insane,
Sometimes in relief, sometimes in pain
I shatter glass, but it’s always in vain.

Broken now and bloodied
I sit in silence, cowed by images I abhor,
Now aghast, now something more,
Perhaps a face I could adore.

AJD 3/30/2015

The Middle East as Sarajevo?

According to news reports, commentaries, and “expert” testimonies, the Obama Administration lacks an overall strategy for dealing with the crises in the Middle East. Further, the Administration finds itself on all sides of the various conflicts in that region: America is providing air support for Iranians fighting ISIL in Iraq and conducting a Syrian bombing campaign against the same ISIL that Iran’s ally, Assad, is fighting; at the same time, America is providing “military and intelligence” support to Saudi Arabia while it bombs the Houthi rebels who are armed and supported by Iran. What is even more confusing is the fact that the Houthis vow to eliminate al Qaeda in Yemen, the very terrorist group that our State Department has identified as the most serious threat to the homeland. And our incidental support of Assad works against our stated policy that Assad’s regime must end. While America intervenes in these Middle East conflicts, terrorists groups in North and Central Africa have begun to pledge allegiance to ISIL. And these interventions further complicate our nuclear non-proliferation negotiations with Iran. It appears obvious that the Administration is clueless in direction, without an overall strategy or any promise of a viable outcome. Or so it seems.

Furthermore, critics have blamed the Administration for not supporting the Free Syrian Army sooner and for removing our troops from Iraq too soon. These apparently strategic and obviously tactical failures, they claim, would have precluded ISIL’s success both in Syria and in Iraq. If only the Administration had acted at the most opportune time, it would not be faced with the problem ISIL now presents. Or so it seems.

But what seems to be common wisdom can be questioned. History provides us some context for asking the right questions. For example, how do you pick a viable rebel group amidst a plethora of Syrian factions? What we have seen is internecine battles and much changing of sides between these various factions. Even Senator McCain, one of the Administration’s most vocal critics, had difficulty identifying potential allies in Syria several years ago. He thought he was posing for a picture with leaders of the Free Syrian Army, thereby demonstrating visible proof of potential allies. But one of the subjects in that picture was a known member of one of the most violent terrorist groups in Syria. Further, it should be noted, that we faced a similar choice in Vietnam when we chose our potential ally out of a line-up of miscreants. Our choice was Diem, the leader of a suspect minority that not only created a corrupt government but also contributed to its own lack of public support and eventual collapse. Do we really know enough about the internal policies and affairs in a foreign country to choose the one group of insurgents that will guarantee the outcome we desire? History would seem to suggest otherwise. (Remember we supported the Taliban before they became our sworn enemy.) But perhaps ISIL’s invasion of Iraq could at least have been avoided if only we had left American troops there. Without a doubt, our troop presence in Europe and South Korea has long contributed to peace for our NATO allies and South Korea. However, once again history intervenes—not with a suggestion, but with reality. A troop withdrawal date had been previously established between the US and Iraq; and its Shiite President refused to renegotiate an extension of that date. The argument that the Administration did not adequately enforce its negotiating position may be legitimate. But nobody party to that negotiation has ever made that case.

Nevertheless, our apparent lack of an overall Middle East strategy, military or otherwise, seems to be obvious. Are we really adrift without a paddle? Or do we once again find ourselves drawn into that deadly whirlpool with the same paddle we have used in the past? For many years we supported Middle East dictators who “kept the peace” by suppressing militant groups. Former Egyptian President Mubarak made this exact point when we urged him to step down. We thought we were acting on “the right side of history.” But now, I believe, we are returning to the previous policy of containment and status quo. The circumstances may be different, but consider the similarity in the Administration’s apparent objectives. The US is supporting Iran and Iraq against a militant ISIL in Iraq, assisting Saudi Arabia against a militant Houthi uprising in Yemen, and bombing a very militant ISIL in Assad’s Syria. Are we then aligned with the goals of Iraq’s Shiite leadership that still suppresses the Sunni minority, with Saudi Arabia’s proliferation of radical Islamic fundamentalism and suppression of Shiite minorities both within and without its borders, or with Assad’s tyrannical suppression of any political opposition? The answer is an obvious “no.” But we ARE against the forces of insurgency. For much of our history in the Middle East, we have shaken the dirty hands of dictators and tyrants who have suppressed potential insurgencies. Consider the results when we have not followed this course: our support for the Shah’s overthrow of his predecessor led to the Iranian revolution, decades of theocratic dictatorship, and Iranian support of insurgent groups in Iraq, Lebanon, and now Yemen; our invasion of Iraq and the overthrow of Hussein opened the door for al Qaeda, the birth of ISIL, the suppression of the Sunni minority, and internecine sectarian violence; our bombing of Libya not only hastened the fall of Qaddafi but led to the chaos of multiple militant groups, all battling for supremacy and control of the state. This enumeration of America trying to be on the “right side of history” may explain the reemergence of our decades-old policy of supporting the parties in power over the potential chaos of militant insurgents. It appears that we are willing to bomb Assad’s enemies, prop up a sectarian government in Iraq, and restore the Yemen government for just one purpose—to suppress militant insurgencies, whether ISIL or Houthi—whether Sunni or Shiite. Having consistently failed to make the Middle East conform to its goals for the region, America seems compelled to fall back on a policy of containment that relies on oppressive regimes to quell violent insurgencies.

I wonder why nobody else has posited the possibility that there is this inchoate and regressive coherence to the Administration’s policy. Could it be that it is simply easier to criticize than to analyze? If so, allow me to extend my limited perspective to analysis. I think the key to understanding what is happening in the Middle East is Iran. Without Iran and Russia, Assad would not be able to hold onto power. Without Iran, the Houthi could not threaten the overthrow of the Yemeni government. Without Iran, Iraq would not be able to hold its ground against ISIL. Without Iran, Hezbollah could never have risen to ascendancy in Lebanon. Without Iran, the Palestinians would never have had the rockets they hurled at Israel. Without Iran, the Shiites in Bahrain could not have staged a rebellion that only Saudi Arabia’s military intervention could squelch. Iran’s ambitions are driving the course of history in the Middle East. Even its willingness to negotiate the progress of its nuclear program can be seen within the scope of its ambitions. They want to be freed from economic sanctions so that they can continue to finance their growing hegemony and supremacy in the region. Even if the US and its allies are successful in negotiating a verifiable halt to Iran’s capability to build a bomb, Iran will not only be freed of economic sanctions, but will still have a nuclear infrastructure with breakout capability to build a bomb within a specific period of time—perhaps a year as has been intimated. If negotiations fail, Iran will undoubtedly fast-track its nuclear program and will further intimidate its neighboring states. The present course Iran has taken is one that could lead to war, with or without a nuclear non-proliferation agreement.

Once again, we should look to history, specifically European history. There was a reason why very famous European diplomats attempted to maintain a balance of power. That balance was the only way they could contain national ambitions and preserve the peace. In the Middle East, the balance of power is shifting. Neither Europe nor the United States is interested in colonizing or occupying territory there. Those prior actions have been tried to no avail and have only served to stir the snake pit. The only possibility of a regional counterweight to Iran is Egypt and/or Turkey. Recently, Egypt has shown a willingness to intervene in Libya and to assist Saudi Arabia in Yemen. Turkey has been very reticent to intervene, even with the Syrian turmoil on its immediate border. Nevertheless, as I write this article, the Arab states are in the process of forming a joint military task force. War may be eminent and perhaps inevitable, for Iran may be more vulnerable now than hereafter. Currently, they are under the weight of severe economic sanction and without a nuclear deterrent. Should the nuclear negotiations fail to reach an agreement, both Israel and our Arab allies would be looking anxiously at the American President to authorize bombing raids on Iran’s nuclear facilities. But that act could be the tipping point leading to an all-out war. The time bomb is ticking.

And the war I am implying might not be strictly a regional affair. Remember Europe, and to a lesser extent, the rest of the world is dependent upon the flow of Saudi Arabian oil. Most of our interventions in the Middle East have been directly or indirectly dictated by the need to protect that flow for the sake of the world economy. Could America be once again pulled into another Middle Eastern war? Congress seems ambivalent. The President has stated “that all options are on the table” should the nuclear negotiations fail to reach a verifiable agreement. Given who sits in the White House, I think it is likely every possible diplomatic measure will be taken to prevent a catastrophic regional war and, more specifically, America’s involvement in the frontlines of such a war. But it is well past the time for Congress to play a more constructive part. And we may be drawing close to the time for a Presidential address to the nation. Our stance is not unlike America’s before Pearl Harbor. However unlikely an attack on the homeland might be, we do have formal alliances with possible participants in a Middle East conflagration.

America is sinking back into a Middle East foreign policy that attempts to appease the world’s anxiety about the supply of oil while risking the anger of Moslem populations regarding the “Great Satan’s” support of oppressive regimes. And Western nations seem much less willing to use their military to remove Assad, stymy Iran’s regional hegemony or nuclear ambitions, or curtail the Saudi Monarch from exporting radicalism or quelling Shiite rebellions in neighboring countries. The Middle East is now sufficiently armed by the West to carry out its self-destruction on its own. For that part of the world, these may indeed be the worst of times. What lies ahead cannot be predicted: be it tribal warfare, religious strife, genocide, Islamic reformation, proxy wars, or whatever. Europe has seen it all in its own evolution. We are now privy to a possible reprise in the Middle East. Given formal alliances and the world’s commercial ties with the region, will a greater catastrophe be avoided?

World wars have started with even less provocation. Remember Sarajevo.